Which Party Will Win the U.S. House in 2026?
Outcome
% Chance
Outcome
%Chance
Republicans
Republicans
Democrats
Democrats
Resolution Criteria
This event is resolved via two parallel markets – one for each major party’s chance at winning the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Each market resolves to Yes if that party wins a majority of U.S. House seats as a result of the 2026 general election, and No if they do not:
- Democrats: Resolves Yes if the Democratic Party gains or retains control of the House by winning at least 218 of the 435 House seats in the November 3, 2026 elections (i.e. a majority when the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027). Otherwise resolves No.
- Republicans: Resolves Yes if the Republican Party wins at least 218 seats (and thus a majority) in the 2026 House elections. Otherwise No.
If neither party alone wins an outright majority (for example, in the extremely unlikely scenario that third-party/independent candidates prevent both Democrats and Republicans from reaching 218 seats), then both markets would resolve to No – as neither party would “win the House” on its own. The outcome will be verified by official election results and the party composition when the new House convenes (sources such as the Clerk of the House or Library of Congress roll call data).
News
Global Market Pulse (USD)
The "Global Market Pulse (USD)" webpage provides access for financial professionals to MFS investment insights, products, and strategies, emphasizing the importance of market analysis and investment approaches tailored for various asset classes.
Knock Down the House
"Knock Down the House" is a documentary that highlights the grassroots campaigns of four women, including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, during the 2018 primary elections, showcasing their determination to challenge established politicians and the impact of grassroots movements on American democracy.
Events for January 2026 – SCOTUSblog
The SCOTUSblog calendar for January 2026 lists 35 events, including significant oral arguments and conferences scheduled for January 9, 12, 13, 14, 16, 19 (Martin Luther King Jr. Day), 20, 21, 23, and 26, featuring cases on topics such as transgender athletes and independent agencies.
Event Calendar
The Democratic Volunteer Center's event calendar for January 2026 features 35 events aimed at mobilizing voters and supporting Democratic candidates, including a lunch with Michael McFaul and various voter outreach activities.
United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2026
The 2026 United States Senate election in West Virginia will feature a filing deadline of January 31, 2026, with primaries scheduled for May 12, 2026, and the general election on November 3, 2026, and is currently rated as a solid Republican contest by multiple analysts.
Interactive Electoral Map 2024 | Customize Your 2024 Electoral Map with MapJay.com
MapJay.com offers an interactive electoral map for the 2024 elections, allowing users to customize and visualize electoral data using various map styles and layers.
Infographinomicon
The article discusses the upcoming referendum on changing the Australian Constitution, highlighting that polling indicates a growing majority for the **NO** campaign, which has consistently led since July, suggesting a challenging path for the **YES** campaign to succeed.
Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
The market on Polymarket indicates a low probability of confirmation for all remaining Trump cabinet picks, which include nominees for key positions such as Secretary of Agriculture and Secretary of Education, with a resolution date set for January 31, 2026.
Voter Resources
The "Voter Resources" page on TYT.com provides essential tools for eligible Americans to register to vote, check their registration status, request absentee ballots, receive election reminders, and learn about their local ballots, emphasizing the importance of participation in democracy.
The Young Turks, Inc.New York State Assembly
The New York State Assembly, the lower house of the New York State Legislature, consists of 150 members serving two-year terms, currently led by Speaker Carl Heastie (D) since 2015, with a Democratic majority, and is set to convene for its next session on January 8, 2025.
www.dl1.en-us.nina.az