Event Image
December 31, 2029
Vol: $6

Will a Fusion Power Plant Deliver Net Electricity to the Grid by 2030?

Outcome

%Chance

Fusion Power Plant Deliver Net Electricity to the Grid by 2030?

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Fusion Power Plant Deliver Net Electricity to the Grid by 2030?

Balance: $0.0

By placing order, you agree to Terms & Conditions

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2029, any fusion energy reactor succeeds in generating net positive electrical power to an electrical grid.

In practice, that means a fusion plant must deliver ≥50 MW of net electrical power (after internal loads) to a commercial power grid for at least 1 continuous hour (beyond just breakeven in an experiment) before 2030.

A confirmed grid connection delivering ≥50 MW of fusion-generated power (even after ramp-up) will count. The achievement must be confirmed by at least one of:

  1. a grid operator / ISO / utility statement
  2. the operator/company’s official release, or
  3. a major newswire report citing either (1) or (2)

If no such grid-fed fusion power is achieved on or before December 31, 2029, 23:59:59 UTC, the market resolves No.

News

about 18 hours ago

The electric fast-track for emerging markets | Ember

The article highlights how declining costs in electrotech—solar, batteries, and electric technologies—offer emerging, low-income countries, especially CVF nations, a faster, cheaper, and scalable alternative to fossil fuels for achieving energy access and economic development, thereby addressing energy poverty and reducing reliance on fossil fuel imports.

about 18 hours ago

S. Korea to host IAEA fusion energy conference in 2027 | Yonhap News Agency

South Korea will host the 31st IAEA Fusion Energy Conference in Seoul from October 4-9, 2027, bringing together global experts to discuss advancements in nuclear fusion technology and international collaboration.

Kang Yoon-seung
2 days ago

The world added 692 GW of renewables in 2025 – here’s what it means | Electrek

In 2025, the world added 692 GW of renewable energy—primarily solar and wind—accounting for 85.6% of new capacity, driven by cost declines and energy security concerns, with Asia leading global growth and a clear shift toward renewables replacing fossil fuels in new power infrastructure.

Michelle Lewis
2 days ago

FERC: Renewables made up 88% of new US power generating capacity in 2025 | Electrek

Renewables, primarily solar and wind, accounted for 88% of new U.S. power capacity in 2025, with solar making up over 72%, surpassing wind, and projected to continue leading growth, while overall renewable capacity now represents more than one-third of the nation's total utility-scale generating capacity.

Michelle Lewis
2 days ago

U.S. Looks to Deploy Advanced Nuclear Reactors Across States - Tomorrow's World Today®

The U.S. is exploring the deployment of advanced nuclear reactors, including small modular reactors, across states like New Hampshire to reduce energy costs, improve reliability, and foster economic growth, with a detailed plan expected within two years.

Steven Ruffing
2 days ago

Useful quantum computers could be built with as few as 10,000 qubits, team finds

A new error-correction architecture using neutral atom qubits suggests that useful, fault-tolerant quantum computers could be built with as few as 10,000 to 20,000 qubits, potentially enabling operational quantum machines by the end of the decade.

2 days ago

Renewables hit 49.4% of global electricity capacity in 2025 • The Register

In 2025, renewable energy sources reached nearly 50% of global electricity capacity, driven mainly by solar, but despite record capacity additions and increased renewable deployment, non-renewable energy projects, particularly in China and the US, rebounded sharply, raising concerns about whether current growth rates are sufficient to meet climate commitments.

Brandon Vigliarolo
2 days ago

THIS nuclear battery could last 433 years and power the next era of deep space exploration | - The Times of India

A new nuclear battery utilizing americium-241, with a half-life of 433 years, could revolutionize deep space exploration by providing long-lasting power beyond current plutonium-238 systems, which have an 88-year half-life.

TOI Science Desk / TIMESOFINDIA.COM / Apr 02, 2026, 00:00 IST
2 days ago

Constellation seeks regulator's help for 2027 plant restart - World Nuclear News

Constellation Energy plans to restart the Crane Clean Energy Center (formerly Three Mile Island Unit 1) in 2027, despite potential delays in grid connection upgrades, by seeking regulatory approval to transfer capacity rights from its Eddystone plant and working with PJM and FERC to facilitate the plant's restart.

2 days ago

Fermi America Secures $156.25 Million Committed Financing Facility from Yorkville Advisors, Surpassing $1 Billion in Total Committed Financing and Capping a Year of Unmatched Execution for Project Matador - Knox News | The Knoxville News-Sentinel

Fermi America secured a $156.25 million financing facility from Yorkville Advisors, bringing its total committed funding to over $1 billion in 2026, supporting the development of its Project Matador, a nearly 17 GW private power grid with significant progress in permitting, construction, and licensing.

Fermi Inc.

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